Northern Sky Research

Aeronautical Satcom Markets, 5th Edition

Published: May 2017

Available Licenses:

  • Standard: $4,295  
  • Enterprise: $8,295

NSR Report Deliverables

NSR delivers clarity and critical market insight.

Building on NSR’s long tradition of evaluating demand for aircraft connectivity, Aeronautical Satcom Markets, 5th Edition (AERO5) offers the leading analysis and research on this dynamic market. AERO5 provides readers with an accurate and comprehensive assessment of ATG, FSS, MSS and GEO/non-GEO HTS connectivity to Commercial Passenger Aircraft, Business Jets and General Aviation markets.  Driven by NSR’s extensive experience in assessing aeronautical connectivity via satellite and air-to-ground trends and drivers, Aeronautical Satcom Markets, 5th Edition provides a map for future direction in this high growth market.

The push to outfit aircraft with diverse forms of connectivity is continuing at an accelerated pace, not just for cabin, but for the cockpit as well. Building on over a decade of experience monitoring, analyzing and assessing the in-flight connectivity market, NSR’s Aeronautical Satcom Markets, 5th Edition is the most recent and exhaustive view on revenues, units, ARPU, and capacity demand on a global scale, by region and connectivity type, for the next ten years. 

The NSR Advantage

With an unparalleled track record in evaluating and assessing in-flight connectivity, NSR’s Aeronautical Satcom Markets, 5th Edition delivers the market’s reference study, including highly detailed information and unique data points to gauge where this fast growth segment of connectivity is headed. NSR’s AERO5 offers an objective and independent view on trends that will drive commercial IFC demand over the next decade.

NSR’s Aeronautical Satcom Markets, 5th Edition- Report Segmentation

Unparalleled Market Forecasts

Aeronautical Satcom Market, 5th Edition provides forecasts on key parameters to help readers assess the various markets for:

  • In-Service Units for each airframe market by frequency band and region
  • Retail and Wholesale Revenues that provide service and equipment revenues, showing how the value chain acts for each platform and frequency band.  Associated Average Revenues per User (ARPU) figures are provided for retail and wholesale revenues.
  • Capacity Demand for commercial FSS frequency (Ku-band) GEO-HTS satellites (Ku-band, Ka-band) and non-GEO HTS satellites

Who Should Purchase this Report:

  • MSS, FSS and HTS Satellite Operators
  • Air-to-Ground Aeronautical Service Operators
  • Distributors, Service Providers, Retailers and Resellers of Satellite Services and Capacity
  • Network Operators
  • Manufacturers of Terminals, Antennas, Smart Phones and Handsets
  • Airlines
  • Aircraft Manufacturers
  • Business Jet Owners
  • Regulators
  • Spectrum Authorities
  • Financial Institutions
  • Agencies Funding Telecom Research and Development
  • Space Agencies
  • Mobile Satellite Services Users

Executive Summary

1.Context and Trends
1.1 Addressable Markets by Region
1.2 Addressable Markets by Region (Commercial Passenger)
   1.2.1. Addressable Markets by Airframes
   1.2.2. Addressable Markets by Airframes & Region
   1.2.3. Traffic Trends
   1.2.4. Orders by Airframe
   1.2.5. Orders, Deliveries & Backlog
1.3 Trends
   1.3.1. IFC Pricing
   1.3.2. Take-Up Rates & Speeds
   1.3.3. Take-Up Rates & Speeds (Region)
   1.3.4. Demand Elasticity
   1.3.5. Business Models
   1.3.6. FSS/HTS Connected Airframe
   1.3.7. Cockpit and Operational Communications
   1.3.8. Flat Panel Antennas (FPAs) and Aero
 
2. Market Environment
2.1 IFC Market Value Chain
   2.1.1. Global Connected Airlines
   2.1.2. Service Providers Capabilities Matrix
2.2 Service Providers Market Share
   2.2.1. Service Providers Market Share – In-Service Units
   2.2.2. Service Providers Market Share – Aircraft Contracted
   2.2.3. Service Providers Market Share – Widebody Contracted by Service Provider
   2.2.4. Service Providers Market Share – Narrow-Body Contracted by Service Provider
   2.2.5. Service Providers Market Share – Wide-Body by Region
   2.2.6. Service Providers Market Share – Narrow-body by Region
   2.2.7. Service Providers Market Share – Business Jets
2.3 Equipment Manufacturers Market Share
2.4 Market Share by Connectivity Type
2.5 Market Share by Airframe
2.6 Market Share by Connectivity Type
2.7 Penetration Rate (VSAT, MSS, HTS)

3. Forecasts
3.1 ASM 5th Edition Forecast Segmentation
   3.1.1. In-Service And Revenues
   3.1.2. ARPU
   3.1.3. Retail Revenues
   3.1.4. By Airframe
   3.1.5. By Frequency Band
   3.1.6. By Segment
   3.1.7. Capacity Demand – Global
   3.1.8. Capacity Revenues
   3.1.9. Comparison with Previous NSR Forecasts
3.2 Airframe
   3.2.1. Wide-Body by Frequency Band
   3.2.2. Wide-Body Ku-Band
   3.2.3. Wide-Body Ku-Band GEO-HTS
   3.2.4. Wide-Body Ka-Band GEO-HTS
   3.2.5. Wide-Body Non GEO-HTS
   3.2.6. Narrowbody by Frequency Band
   3.2.7. Narrowbody Ku-Band
   3.2.8. Narrowbody L-Band
   3.2.9. Narrowbody Ku-Band GEO-HTS
   3.2.10. Narrowbody Ka-Band GEO-HTS
   3.2.11. Business Jets by Frequency Band
   3.2.12. Business Jets Ku-Band
   3.2.13. Business Jets L-Band
   3.2.14. Business Jets Ku-Band GEO-HTS
   3.2.15. Business Jets Ka-Band GEO-HTS
   3.2.16. General Aviation & Rotor Wing
   3.2.17. General Aviation & Rotor Wing In-Service Units and Revenues
3.3 Segment
   3.3.1. Passengers
   3.3.2. Operational
3.4 Capacity Demand
   3.4.1. FSS Ku-band
   3.4.2. GEO-HTS Ku-band
   3.4.3. GEO-HTS Ka-band
   3.4.4. Non-GEO HTS
3.5 ATG
   3.5.1. Global
   3.5.2. Commercial Aviation
   3.5.3. Business Aviation
 
Appendix: Forecast Methodology & Definitions

List of Exhibits

Ex. 1.1 Addressable Markets by Region
Ex. 1.2 Addressable Markets by Region (Commercial Passenger)
Ex. 1.3 Aeronautical Satcom Addressable Market by Airframe, 2016
Ex. 1.5 Aeronautical Satcom Addressable Market by Airframe
Ex. 1.6 Aeronautical Satcom Addressable Market by Region
Ex. 1.7 RPK by Region, 2015-2016
Ex. 1.8 Total New Passenger Aircraft Orders, 2016-2035
Ex. 1.9 Total Passenger Aircraft Deliveries, Orders & Backlog, 2016
Ex. 1.10 Average Ku-Band and ATG In-Flight Connectivity Pricing Packages
Ex. 1.11 Average L-Band In-flight Connectivity Pricing, 2015
Ex. 1.12 ATG Service Take Rate Evolution
Ex. 1.13 FSS Ku-Band Take Rate Evolution
Ex. 1.14 In-Flight Wi-Fi Take Rate by Region
Ex. 1.15 In-Flight Voice & SMSM Take Rate by Region
Ex. 1.16 North American In-Flight Wi-Fi Take Rate
Ex. 1.17 IFC Business Models
Ex. 1.18 Airlines Wi-Fi Approach
Ex. 1.19 FSS/HTS Connected Airframes, 2016
Ex. 1.20 FSS/HTS Connected Airframes, 2015
Ex. 1.21 List of Aero FPA Manufacturers

Ex. 2.1 IFC Market Value Chain
Ex. 2.2 Global Satcom Connected Airlines by Region (Contracted Aircraft)
Ex. 2.3 Aeronautical Satellite Service Providers Capabilities
Ex. 2.4 Global Commercial Aircraft Connectivity Providers Market Share by Revenues, 2016
Ex. 2.5 Global Commercial Aircraft Connectivity Providers Market Share by Revenues, 2015
Ex. 2.6 Global Commercial Aircraft Connectivity Providers Market Share by In-Services Units, 2016
Ex. 2.7 Global Commercial Aircraft Connectivity Providers Market Share by In-Services Units, 2015
Ex. 2.8 Global Aeronautical Service Providers Market Share by Aircraft Contracted, 2016
Ex. 2.9 Global Aeronautical Service Providers Market Share by Aircraft Contracted, 2015
Ex. 2.10 Global Aeronautical Service Providers Market Share by Satcom IFC Widebody Aircraft Contracted
Ex. 2.11 Global Aeronautical Service Providers Market Share by Satcom IFC Narrowbody Aircraft Contracted
Ex. 2.12 Service Providers FSS/HTS IFC Market Share - Widebody Contracted Aircraft (NAM)
Ex. 2.13 Service Providers FSS/HTS IFC Market Share - Widebody Contracted Aircraft (LAM)
Ex. 2.14 Service Providers FSS/HTS IFC Market Share - Widebody Contracted Aircraft (EU)
Ex. 2.15 Service Providers FSS/HTS IFC Market Share - Widebody Contracted Aircraft (MEA)
Ex. 2.16 Service Providers FSS/HTS IFC Market Share - Widebody Contracted Aircraft (Asia)
Ex. 2.17 Service Providers FSS/HTS IFC Market Share - Narrowbody Contracted Aircraft (NAM)
Ex. 2.18 Service Providers FSS/HTS IFC Market Share - Narrowbody Contracted Aircraft (LAM)
Ex. 2.19 Service Providers FSS/HTS IFC Market Share - Narrowbody Contracted Aircraft (EU)
Ex. 2.20 Service Providers FSS/HTS IFC Market Share - Narrowbody Contracted Aircraft (MEA)
Ex. 2.21 Service Providers FSS/HTS IFC Market Share - Narrowbody Contracted Aircraft (Asia)
Ex. 2.22 FSS Business Jets Service Providers Market Share by In-Service Units, 2016
Ex. 2.23 FSS Ku-Band Business Jets Service Providers Market Share by In-Service Units, 2015
Ex. 2.24 Aeronautical FSS & HTS Satcom Equipment Manufacturers Market Share by Contracted Aircraft, 2016
Ex. 2.25 Aeronautical FSS & HTS Satcom Equipment Manufacturers Market Share by Contracted Aircraft, 2015
Ex. 2.26 Aeronautical Connectivity Equipment Costs by Airframe
Ex. 2.27 Aeronautical Connectivity Average Revenues Per Units by Airframe
Ex. 2.28 Aeronautical Satcom Market Share by Connectivity Type (Aircraft Contracted), 2016
Ex. 2.29 FSS/HTS Connected Airframes, 2016
Ex. 2.30 FSS/HTS Connected Airframes, 2015
Ex. 2.31 Air-to-Ground, Ku-Band and HTS Connectivity Market share by In-Service Units, 2016
Ex. 2.32 Air-to-Ground, Ku-Band and HTS Connectivity Market share by In-Service Units, 2026
Ex. 2.33 Air-to-Ground, Ku-Band and HTS Connectivity Market share by Retail Revenues, 2016Ex.
Ex. 2.34 Air-to-Ground, Ku-Band and HTS Connectivity Market share by Retail Revenues, 2026
Ex. 2.35 Aeronautical VSAT Penetration Rate
Ex. 2.36 Aeronautical ATG Penetration Rate

Ex. 3.1 ASM 5th Edition Forecast Segmentation
Ex. 3.2 Aeronautical Satcom In-Service Units by Scenario
Ex. 3.3 Aeronautical Satcom Retail & Wholesale ARPU
Ex. 3.4 Aeronautical Satcom Retail & Wholesale Revenues
Ex. 3.5 Aeronautical Satcom Total Retail Revenues by Airframe
Ex. 3.6 Aeronautical Satcom In-Service Units by Airframe
Ex. 3.7 Aeronautical Connectivity Total Retail Revenues by Frequency Band
Ex. 3.8 Aeronautical Connectivity In-Service Units by Frequency Band
Ex. 3.9 In-Flight Passenger Connectivity Retail & Wholesale Revenues
Ex. 3.10 Operational Connectivity Retail & Wholesale Revenues
Ex. 3.11 Aeronautical Satcom Capacity Demand
Ex. 3.12 Aeronautical Satcom Capacity Revenues
Ex. 3.13 Comparison of Aeronautical Satcom Markets In-Service Units Forecasts
Ex. 3.14 Comparison of Aeronautical Satcom Markets Total Retail Revenues Forecasts
Ex. 3.15 Comparison of Aeronautical Satcom Markets Ku-Band Capacity Demand Forecasts
Ex. 3.16 Comparison of Aeronautical Satcom Markets HTS Capacity Demand Forecasts
Ex. 3.17 Comparison of Aeronautical Satcom Markets HTS Capacity Demand Revenues
Ex. 3.18 Wide-Body Aeronautical In-Service Units By Frequency Band
Ex. 3.19 Wide-Body Aeronautical Total Retail Revenues by Frequency Band
Ex. 3.20 Wide-Body Commercial Ku-Band In-Service Units by Scenario
Ex. 3.21 Wide-Body Commercial Ku-Band Transponder Demand
Ex. 3.22 Wide-Body Commercial L-Band In-Service Units by Scenario
Ex. 3.23 Wide-Body Commercial L-Band Retail & Wholesale Revenues
Ex. 3.24 Wide-body Commercial Ku-Band GEO-HTS In-Service Units by Scenario
Ex. 3.25 Wide-Body Commercial Ku-Band GEO-HTS Capacity Demand
Ex. 3.26 Wide-Body Commercial Ka-Band GEO-HTS Capacity Demand
Ex. 3.27 Wide-Body Commercial Non-GEO HTS Retail & Wholesale Revenues
Ex. 3.28 Narrow-Body Aeronautical In-Service Units by Frequency Band
Ex. 3.29 Narrow-Body Aeronautical Total Retail Revenues by Frequency Band
Ex. 3.30Narrow-Body Commercial Ku-Band In-Service Units by Scenario
Ex. 3.31 Narrow-Body Commercial Ku-Band Transponder Demand
Ex. 3.32 Narrow-Body Commercial L-Band In-Service Units by Scenario
Ex. 3.33 Narrow-Body Commercial L-Band Retail & Wholesale Revenues
Ex. 3.34 Narrow-Body Commercial Ku-Band GEO-HTS In-Service Units by Scenario
Ex. 3.35 Narrow-Body Commercial Ku-Band GEO-HTS Capacity Demand
Ex. 3.36 Narrow-Body Commercial Ka-Band GEO-HTS In-Service Units by Scenario
Ex. 3.37 Narrow-Body Commercial Ka-Band GEO-HTS Capacity Demand
Ex. 3.38 Business Jets Aeronautical In-Service Units by Frequency Band
Ex. 3.39 Business Jets Aeronautical Total Retail Revenues by Frequency Band
Ex. 3.40 Business Jets Commercial Ku-Band In-Service Units and Capacity Demand
Ex. 3.41 Business Jets Commercial Ku-Band Retail & Wholesale Revenues
Ex. 3.42 Business Jets Commercial L-Band Retail & Wholesale Revenues
Ex. 3.43 Business Jets Commercial Ku-Band GEO-HTS Retail & Wholesale Revenues
Ex. 3.44 Business Jets Commercial Ku-Band GEO-HTS Capacity Demand
Ex. 3.45 Business Jets Commercial Ka-Band GEO-HTS In-Service Units by Scenario
Ex. 3.46 Business Jets Commercial Ka-Band GEO-HTS Retail & Wholesale Revenues
Ex. 3.47 GA & RW Commercial L-Band In-Service Units by Scenario
Ex. 3.48 GA & RW Commercial L-Band Total Retail Revenues
Ex. 3.49 In-Flight Passenger Connectivity In-Service Units by Type & Scenario
Ex. 3.50 In-Flight Passenger Connectivity Retail Revenues by Type
Ex. 3.51 In-Flight Passenger Connectivity via Satellite Retail & Wholesale Revenues
Ex. 3.52 Operational Connectivity In-Service Units by Scenario
Ex. 3.53 Operational Connectivity Retail & Wholesale Revenues
Ex. 3.54 Ku-Band Aeronautical Transponder Demand
Ex. 3.55 Ku-Band Aeronautical Transponder Revenues
Ex. 3.56 Wide-Body Commercial Ku-Band GEO-HTS Capacity Demand
Ex. 3.57 Narrow-Body Commercial Ku-Band GEO-HTS Capacity Demand
Ex. 3.58 Business Jets Commercial Ku-Band GEO-HTS Capacity Demand
Ex. 3.59 Wide-Body Commercial Ka-Band GEO-HTS Capacity Demand
Ex. 3.60 Narrow-Body Commercial Ka-Band GEO-HTS Capacity Demand
Ex. 3.61 Business Jets Commercial Ka-Band GEO-HTS Capacity Demand
Ex. 3.62 Wide-Body Commercial Non-GEO HTS Capacity Revenues
Ex. 3.63 Wide-Body Commercial Non-GEO HTS Capacity Demand
Ex. 3.64 ATG In-Service Units by Scenario
Ex. 3.65 ATG Revenues by Segment
Ex. 3.66 ATG Commercial Aviation Total Retail Revenues
Ex. 3.67 ATG Business Aviation In-Service Units By Scenario