Northern Sky Research

Government and Military Satellite Communications, 14th Edition

Published: December 2017

Available Licenses:

  • Standard: $4,295  
  • Enterprise: $8,295

NSR Report Deliverables

NSR delivers clarity and critical market insight.

NSR’s Government and Military Satellite Communications, 14th Edition continues where the 13th Edition left off – has the Government & Military shifted into a growth period?  With world affairs in a constant state of flux, a renewed focus on Asia-Pacific, and an evolving interplay between MILSATCOM and COMSATCOM capacity.  GMSC14 explores the leading trends, drivers, and restraints in the Gov & Mil Satellite communications markets.

Building on nearly a decade and a half of analysis, the report focuses on four core markets: Bulk Leasing, Aeronautical, Maritime, and Land-based segments across narrowband to broadband commercial satellite capacities.  Through NSR’s scenario-based approach, the report explores how changing defense priorities impact the market, charting a path to growth across the most likely of outcomes.  Providing data on In-service SATCOM Units, Capacity Demand, and Revenue forecasts from 2016 – 2026, the report goes behind the press releases to focus-in on the major trends, drivers, and restraints. 

NSR’s GMSC14 is the industry reference for decision markets in the Gov & Mil SATCOM Market.  While major governments around the world build and develop their next-gen MILSATCOM systems, NSR’s Government and Military Satellite Communications, 14th Edition charts a path for growth in this steadily improving market.

Key Questions:

  • The COMSAT vs. MILSAT debate: what is the current state of play?
  • MILSAT Systems: what are the major military satellite programs? Which countries are implementing their own national programs? What new actors are emerging?
  • U.S. Military involvement: is the U.S. truly seeking lower involvement overseas, or is the reverse true? What effect will this have on market growth?
  • Rise of Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS): is there an increasing market for SATCOM-equipped UAS platforms beyond U.S./NATO?
  • The emergence of High Throughput Satellites (HTS): how has HTS affected FSS markets? What does this mean for capacity pricing?
  • Opportunities and Trends: what regions and frequencies still provide opportunities for growth for commercial operators? Which regional players are becoming more relevant at SATCOM hot-spots?
  • Shifting Tides: what are the regions with the most global focus? Is there a continued trend of the “Asia-Pivot” occurring?

The NSR Advantage:

This Report offers coverage over and above the competition:

  • Longest continuous analysis of Government and Military demand for commercial satcom capacity, built on over a decade of research and analysis
  • Complete coverage for all major vertical markets, including discrete analysis for ocean, arctic, and land regions
  • Highly granular forecasts over ten years by FSS C/Ku/Ka/X-bands, GEO-HTS C/Ku/Ka-bands, Non-GEO HTS, and MSS Broadband/Narrowband segments
  • Detailed split of capacity demand & revenues for bulk-leasing and managed services market

Report Segmentation:

NSR’s Government and Military Satellite Communications, 14th Edition, is divided into 5 market segments with further segmentation by region, by frequency band, by type of capacity, and by customer. Data and forecasts are provided on:

Report Includes:

  • A base forecast of in-service units and revenues for all managed services
  • Transponder/Capacity demand and revenues forecast for each frequency band and HTS, including bulk leasing and managed services
  • Three scenarios for all market segments and frequency bands, with clearly stated scenario assumptions
  • MILSATCOM satellite capacity supply, current and planned
  • Regional demand and spending trends on satellite communications

Regions Covered:

  • North America
  • Latin America
  • Europe
  • Middle East & Africa
  • Asia
  • Atlantic Ocean Region
  • Indian Ocean Region
  • Pacific Ocean Region
  • Arctic Ocean Region (for Maritime Applications)

Who Should Purchase this Report:

  • Fixed Satellite Services (FSS) and Mobile Satellite Services (MSS) Operators
  • Service Providers and Capacity Resellers
  • Equipment Manufacturers
  • Satellite Manufacturers
  • Companies involved in the planning and advising of commercial satellite capacity for government and military applications
  • Government regulators and agencies involved in procurement, planning, and operations of satellite communications network

1. Executive Summary
   1.1 Gov & Mil SATCOM Markets At-A-Glance
   1.2 Current Debates
   1.3 Global Market Forecast Overview
   1.4 Satellite Operator Market Share
   1.5 Scenarios
   1.6 Bulk Leasing Markets
   1.7 COTP Market Summary
   1.8 COTM Market Summary
   1.9 Bottom Line Government and Military Satellite Communications, 14th Edition

2. Global Market Overview
   2.1 Global Satellite Operator Gov/Mil Market Shares
   2.2 Capacity Demand vs. Cost per Bit
   2.2 Capacity Pricing Review & Outlook
   2.3 MILSATCOM Capabilities
   2.4 Key MILSATCOM Supply, by Region
   2.5 To MILSATCOM or COMSATCOM?
   2.6 Regional Outlook
   2.7 Translating to Procurement Activates

3. NSR's Scenarios
   3.1 Overview and Method
   3.2 Scenario Review Fixed VSAT - Units & Revenues
   3.2 Scenario Review Fixed VSAT - Capacity Demand
   3.2 Scenario Review MSS Narrowband - Units & Revenues
   3.2 Scenario Review COTP - Units & Revenues
   3.2 Scenario Review COTP - Capacity Demand
   3.2 Scenario Review COTM - Units & Revenues
   3.2 Scenario Review COTM - Capacity Demand
   3.2 Scenario Review Bulk Leasing
   3.3 Recap from Other Editions: Which Scenario?

4. Global Market Forecast
   4.1 2015 vs. 2016 - A Bump on the Road to Recovery
   4.1 Where's the [Capacity] Growth?
   4.1 Where's the [Units/Revenue] Growth?
   4.1 Where in the World - Are They? (Units)
   4.1 Where in the World - Are They? (Revenues)
   4.2 Managed Services or Bulk Leasing?
   4.3 Global In-service Units & Revenues
   4.3 Retail & Wholesale Revenues for Managed Services
   4.4 Capacity Demand and Revenues, by Platform
   4.5 Comparison to Previous Forecasts

5. Bulk Leasing
   5.1 Bulk Leasing Market Summary
   5.2 Bulk Leasing Markets, Capacity Revenues by Region
   5.3 Bulk Leasing Markets, FSS Capacity Demand
   5.4 Bulk Leasing, HTS Capacity Demand
   5.5 Bulk Leasing Comparisons (Revenue)

6. Aeronautical Markets //Reformat to split Market vs. Forecast Segment
   6.1.1 Manned Aero In-Service Units
   6.1.2 Manned Aero ARPU & Retail Revenues
   6.1.3 Manned Aero Capacity Demand & Revenues
   6.1.4 Manned Aero Comparisons
   6.2.1 UAS In-Service Units
   6.2.2 UAS ARPU & Retail Revenues
   6.2.3 UAS Capacity Demand & Revenues
   6.2.4 UAS Comparisons

7. Land Markets
   7.1.1 Comms-on-the-Pause/Halt (COTP) In-Service Units
   7.1.2 Comms-on-the-Pause/Halt (COTP) ARPU & Retail Revenues
   7.1.3 Comms-on-the-Pause/Halt (COTP) Capacity Demand & Revenues
   7.1.4 Comms-on-the-Pause/Halt (COTP) Comparisons
   7.2.1 Comms-on-the-Move (COTM) Land In-Service Units
   7.2.2 Comms-on-the-Move (COTM) Land ARPU & Retail Revenues
   7.2.3 Comms-on-the-Move (COTM) Land Capacity Demand & Revenues
   7.2.4 Comms-on-the-Move (COTM) Land Comparisons
   7.3.1 Fixed VSAT In-Service Units
   7.3.2 Fixed VSAT ARPU & Retail Revenues
   7.3.3 Fixed VSAT Capacity Demand & Revenues
   7.3.4 Fixed VSAT Comparisons
   7.4.1 Handheld & Other Form Factors Handhelds
   7.4.2 Handheld & Other Form Factors Other Form Factors

8. Maritime Markets
   8.1.1 Maritime In-Service Units
   8.1.2 Maritime ARPU & Retail Revenues
   8.1.3 Maritime Capacity Demand & Revenues
   8.1.4 Maritime Comparisons

Annex
   Definitions
   General Methodology

List of Exhibits

1. Executive Summary
GMSC Global Base Scenario - In-service Units, by Market Segment
GMSC Global Base Scenario - Retail Revenues, by Market Segment
GMSC Global Base Scenario - Capacity Demand
Satellite Operators Gov/Mil Market Share, 2016
GMSC Global In-service Units Variance, by Scenario
GMSC Global Capacity Revenues Variance, by Scenario
GMSC Bulk Base Scenario - Capacity Demand
GMSC Bulk Base Scenario FSS Capacity Revenues, by Capacity
GMSC Bulk Base Scenario HTS Capacity Revenues, by Capacity
GMSC COTP Base Scenario - In-service Units, by Region
GMSC COTP Base Scenario - Retail Revenues, by Capacity
GMSC COTP Base Scenario - Capacity Demand
GMSC COTM Base Scenario - In-service Units, by Platform
GMSC COTM Base Scenario - Total Retail Revenues
GMSC COTM Base Scenario - Capacity Demand
Government & Military Satellite, Communications, 14th Ed. Capacity Demand
Bulk Leasing - Capacity Revenues
Managed Services - Retail Revenues

2. Global Market Overview
Satellite Operators Gov/Mil Market Share, 2016
Capacity Demand vs $Mbps/Month
FSS & HTS Pricing Trends
GMSCv14 HTS & FSS Pricing Trends
MILSATCOM Supply (Gbps), by Region
North American & European MILSATCOM Capacity*
DISA 2017 Forecast to Industry - Satellite Communications

3. NSR’s Scenarios
Fixed VSAT In-service Units, by Scenarios
Fixed VSAT Total Retail Revenues, by Scenarios
Fixed VSAT Transponder & Capacity Demand, Scenario 1
Fixed VSAT Transponder & Capacity Demand, Scenario 2
MSS Narrowband In-service Units, Scenarios
MSS Narrowband Total Retail Revenues, Scenarios
COTP In-service Units, Scenarios
COTP Total Retail Revenues, Scenarios
COTP Transponder & Capacity Demand, Scenario 1
COTP Transponder & Capacity Demand, Scenario 2
COTM In-service Units, Scenarios
COTM Total Retail Revenues, Scenarios
COTM Transponder & Capacity Demand, Scenario 1
COTM Transponder & Capacity Demand, Scenario 2
Bulk Leasing Capacity Revenues, Scenarios
Bulk Leasing Transponder & Capacity Demand, Scenario 1
Bulk Leasing Transponder & Capacity Demand, Scenario 2
(GMSC 13) Fixed VSAT Transponder & Capacity Demand, Scenario 2
(GMSC 13) Fixed VSAT Transponder & Capacity Demand, Scenario 1
(GMSC 14) Fixed VSAT Transponder & Capacity Demand, Scenario 1

4. Global Market Forecast
GMSC Global Base Scenario - Retail Revenues 2015
GMSC Global Base Scenario - Retail Revenues 2016
Global Military and Global Government Markets, 14th Edition Review
Managed Services - Revenue Gain $M
Managed Services - In Service Unit Gain (000s)
Government & Military Satellite Communications 14th Ed - In-service Units (000s), Net 2016 - 2026
Government & Military Satellite Communications 14th Ed. - Retail Revenues $M, Net 2016 - 2026
GMSC 14th FSS Capacity Demand Net Gain 2016 - 2026
GMSC 14th HTS Capacity Demand Net Gain 2016 - 2026
GMSC 14th Ed. FSS Capacity Demand
GMSC 14th Ed. HTS Capacity Demand
GMSC Global Base Scenario - In-service Units, by Region
GMSC Global Base Scenario - Retail Revenues, by Capacity
GMSC Global Base Scenario - Retail & Wholesale Revenues
GMSC Global Base Scenario - Retail Revenues, by Market Segment
GMSC Global Base Scenario - Capacity Demand, FSS
GMSC Global Base Scenario - Capacity Demand, HTS
GMSC Global Base Scenario - Capacity Revenues
Comparison of In-Service Units
Comparison of Retail Revenues
Comparison of FSS Capacity Demand
Comparison of HTS Capacity Demand

5. Bulk Leasing
GMSC Bulk Base Scenario - Capacity Revenues, by Capacity
GMSC Bulk Base Scenario - Capacity Revenues, by Region 2016
GMSC Bulk Base Scenario - Capacity Revenues, by Region 2026
GMSC Bulk Base Scenario - Capacity Demand, FSS
GMSC Bulk Base Scenario - Capacity Demand, HTS
Comparison: Bulk Capacity Revenue

6. Aeronautical Markets
GMSC COTM, Manned Aero Base Scenario - In-service Units, by Scenario
GMSC COTM, Manned Aero Base Scenario - In-service Units, by Region
GMSC COTM, Manned Aero Base Scenario - Retail & Wholesale ARPU
GMSC COTM, Manned Aero Base Scenario - Retail Revenues, by Capacity
GMSC COTM, Manned Aero Base Scenario - Capacity Demand
GMSC COTM, Manned Aero Base Scenario - Capacity Revenues, by Capacity
Comparison: COTM, Manned Aero - In-Service Units
GMSC COTM, UAS Base Scenario - In-service Units, by Scenario
GMSC COTM, UAS Base Scenario - In-service Units, by Region
GMSC COTM, UAS Base Scenario - Retail & Wholesale ARPU
GMSC COTM, UAS Base Scenario - Retail Revenues, by Capacity
GMSC COTM, UAS Base Scenario - Capacity Demand
GMSC COTM, UAS Base Scenario - Capacity Revenues, by Capacity
Comparison: COTM, UAS - Retail Revenues

7. Land Markets
COTP In-service Units, Scenarios
GMSC COTP Base Scenario - In-service Units, by Region
GMSC COTP Base Scenario - Retail & Wholesale ARPU
GMSC COTP Base Scenario - Retail Revenues, by Capacity
GMSC COTP Base Scenario - Capacity Demand
GMSC COTP Base Scenario - Capacity Revenues, by Capacity
Comparison: COTP In-service Units
GMSC COTM, Land Base Scenario - In-service Units, by Scenario
GMSC COTM, Land Base Scenario - In-service Units, by Region
GMSC COTM, Land Base Scenario - Retail & Wholesale ARPU
GMSC COTM, Land Base Scenario - Retail Revenues, by Capacity
GMSC COTM, Land Base Scenario - Capacity Demand
GMSC COTM, Land Base Scenario - Capacity Revenues, by Capacity
Comparison: COTM, Land - Retail Revenues
Fixed VSAT In-service Units, by Scenarios
GMSC Fixed Base Scenario - In-service Units, by Capacity
GMSC Fixed Base Scenario - Retail & Wholesale ARPU
GMSC Fixed Base Scenario - Retail Revenues, by Capacity
GMSC Fixed Base Scenario - Capacity Demand
GMSC Fixed Base Scenario - Capacity Revenues, by Capacity
Comparison of Fixed VSAT In-service Units Forecasts
Comparison of Fixed VSAT Total Retail Revenue Forecasts
Comparison Fixed VSAT Transponder Demand Forecasts
Comparison of Fixed VSAT HTS Capacity Demand Forecasts
GMSC MSS Narrowband Base Scenario - Handhelds In-service Units, by Scenario
GMSC MSS Narrowband Base Scenario - Handhelds Retail Revenue, by Region
GMSC MSS Narrowband Base Scenario - Other Form Factors In-service Units, by Scenario
GMSC MSS Narrowband Base Scenario - Other Form Factors Retail Revenue, by Region

8. Maritime Markets
GMSC COTM, Maritime Base Scenario - In-service Units, by Scenario
GMSC COTM, Maritime Base Scenario - In-service Units, by Region
GMSC COTM, Maritime Base Scenario - Retail & Wholesale ARPU
GMSC COTM, Maritime Base Scenario - Retail Revenues, by Capacity
GMSC COTM, Maritime Base Scenario - Capacity Demand
GMSC COTM, Maritime Base Scenario - Capacity Revenues, by Capacity
Comparison: COTM, Maritime - Retail Revenues

Annex