Satellite Communications

Aeronautical Satcom Markets, 8th Edition

PUBLISHED: May 2020

Available Licenses: Standard: $4,595 Enterprise: $8,595

  • Report Summary
  • Key Features
  • Table of Contents
  • Supporting Articles

NSR’s Aeronautical Satcom Markets, 8th Edition report builds on 14+ years of NSR experience tracking Aero markets globally and provides a complete picture of the market opportunity. The report provides regional, airframe-type, and capacity level forecasts over the next ten years. With careful consideration for near-term economic impacts, the longer-term opportunities for aeronautical connectivity remain hopeful.

Aero markets are in the midst of a downturn never before seen in the transport business. The global pandemic has virtually halted most passenger air traffic, and thus the In-flight Connectivity (IFC) demand generated by each connected flight. While this situation is uncertain in the near-term, NSR does expect long-term prospects to remain robust as connectivity is seen as a standard requirement aboard most aircraft. Thus, while challenges persist today throughout the IFC business, NSR’s complete analysis balances these near-term issues against long-term opportunities driving this market.

As airlines continue to take planes out of service, the downstream impacts across the aeronautical satcom value-chain continue to be disrupted. The question on everyone’s mind – What and When will the ‘turn around’ occur? Digging into this critical near-term question, NSR tracks the impacts across the satellite spectrum, from changes in equipment fit-out rates, to the take-up of GEO vs. Non-GEO, FSS vs. HTS, MSS vs. VSAT vs. ATG connectivity options. Looking at an airframe-type basis between Commercial Aviation to Business Jets to General Aviation, each segment is facing a different set of challenges. Overall, tracking those challenges are critical to understanding the next 18 to 24 months, and for players to position themselves to capture the right opportunities with the right technology as the market rebounds.

NSR’s Aeronautical SATCOM Markets, 8th Edition Answers Key Questions:

  • What is the near-term impact from COVID-19 on IFC uptake?
  • How long will the market remain impacted?
  • What type of connectivity will be critical for Aero Markets?
  • Which applications will be enabled from MSS/L-band to Emerging Non-GEO HTS?
  • When will equipment, service, and retail revenues improve?
  • How many airlines are under contract?
  • What are the major service providers market share by region, airframe, and capacity- type?

 

NSR’s Aeronautical Satcom Markets, 8th Edition- Report Segmentation

Aeronautical Satcom Markets, 8th Edition provides forecasts on key parameters to help readers access the various markets for:

  • In-Service Units for each airframe market by frequency band and region
  • Retail, Equipment, and Service Revenues that provide breakdowns by Region, Airframe-type, and Capacity. The associated Average Revenue per Unit figures are further calculated.
  • Capacity Demand and Revenues for FSS, GEO-HTS, and Non-GEO HTS offerings

Who Should Purchase this Report:

Players across the Value-chain should purchase this report, including:
  • Satellite Operators
  • Air-to-Ground (ATG) Operators,
  • Distributors, Service Providers, Retailers and Resellers of Satellite Services
  • Network Operators
  • Terminal, Modem, and other Equipment Manufacturers
  • Airlines, Business Jet Owners and other Aircraft Owners/Operators
  • MROs
  • Investors, Financial and Lending Institutions

Companies Profiled or Mentioned in this Report

Asiasat, Arabsat, ABS, Astronics, Airbus, AeroMexico, Amazon, Apple, American Airlines, ANA, Air France-KLM, Air Europa, Air eSurfing, APT Satellite, Avanti, Boeing, British Airways, Collins Aerospace, China Satellite Communications, Delta Airlines, Echostar, Eutelsat, Emirates, Etihad, Finnair, GoGo, Global Eagle, Gilat, GOL, Gulf Air, Gazprom Space Systems, Honeywell, Hispasat, Intelsat, Inmarsat, Iridium, Iberian Airlines, ISRO, Jet Blue, Lufthansa, NBN Australia, Netflix, Panasonic, Qest, RSCC, SES, SITAONAIR, SpaceX, ST Engineering, Smartsky Networks, SAS Scandinavian Airlines, Saudia Airlines, Telesat, Thaicom, Thinkom, Thales, Taqnia Space, Turksat, Turkish Airlines, United Airlines, ViaSat, and Virgin Atlantic.

Table of Contents

Definitions & Overview

Executive Summary

  1. Global Overview
    1. Global Overview Summary
      1. Addressable Markets by Region
      2. Addressable Markets by Airframe
      3. Market Drivers and Restraints
    2. Traffic Trends
      1. RPK Growth and Market Share by Region
    3. Deliveries, Orders & Backlog
    4. IFC Pricing
    5. North America Take Rates
      1. North America IFC Trends
    6. Business Models Analysis by Airlines
      1. Business Models Analysis by Airframe
    7. FSS/HTS Connected Airframes
    8. Connected Airlines by Region
    9. Global Overview – Bottom Line
  2. Market Environment
    1. IFC Market Value Chain
    2. Value Chain Positioning
      1. Market Share Summary
    3. IFC Service Providers Products & Service
      1. Market Share – Revenues
      2. Market Share – In-Service Units
      3. Market Share – Capacity Type
      4. Market Share – Aircraft Contracted
      5. Market Share – Widebody
      6. Market Share – Widebody by Region
      7. Market Share – Narrowbody
      8. Market Share – Narrowbody by Region
      9. Market Share Summary by Region
      10. Market Share – Business Jets
    4. Terminal Manufacturers Market Share
    5. IFC Modem Manufacturers Market Share by In-Service Units & Backlog
      1. By Aircraft Contracted
    6. Market Share by Connectivity Type (Aircraft Contracted)
      1. By In-Service Units
      2. By Retail Revenues
      3. Equipment Price & ARPU
    7. Penetration Rates
      1. Penetration Rates – VSAT (FSS Ku-Band & HTS)
      2. Penetration Rates – ATG/CGC & L-Band
    8. Market Environment – Bottom Line
  3. Forecasts
    1. Global Forecasts
      1. At-a-Glance
      2. By Region
      3. By Airframe
      4. By Frequency Band
      5. By Service Type
      6. Capacity Demand
      7. Comparison with Previous NSR Forecasts
        1. In-Service Units and Revenues
        2. Capacity
    2. Airframes
      1. Widebody by Band and Region
        1. L-Band
        2. FSS Ku-Band
        3. GEO-HTS Ku-band
        4. GEO-HTS Ka-Band
        5. Non-GEO HTS Ku-Band
      2. Narrowbody by Band and Region
        1. L-Band
        2. FSS Ku-Band
        3. GEO-HTS Ku-band
        4. GEO-HTS Ka-Band
      3. Business Jets by Band and Region
        1. L-Band
        2. FSS Ku-Band
        3. GEO-HTS Ku-band
        4. GEO-HTS Ka-Band
      4. General Aviation Trends
        1. L-Band
      5. Total Satcom Retail Revenue Summary by Airframe and Frequency
    3. Service Types
      1. Passengers IFC
      2. Operational
    4. Capacity Demand
      1. FSS Ku-band
      2. GEO-HTS Ku-band
      3. GEO-HTS Ka-band
      4. Non-GEO HTS
    5. ATG/CGC
      1. Global
      2. Commercial Aviation
      3. Business Aviation

Appendix: Forecast Methodology

List of Exhibits

Chapter 1
  • Aeronautical Satcom Addressable Market by Airframe, 2018-2019
  • Aeronautical Satcom Addressable Market by Airframe, 2019-2029
  • RPK Growth by Region, 2016-2019
  • RPK Market Share by Region, 2016-2019
  • Total Passenger Aircraft Deliveries, Orders & Backlog, 2019
  • Total Passenger Aircraft Orders, 2019-2039
  • Average In-Flight Connectivity Price Packages
  • Average L-Band In-Flight Connectivity Pricing (Mixed)
  • North America IFC Take Rate
  • North America IFC Take Rate Trends, 2019
  • North American IFC Revenues by Capacity Type, 2019-2029
  • North American IFC Revenues by Capacity Type, 2019
  • North American IFC Revenues by Capacity Type, 2029
  • IFC Business Models Market Share, 2019
  • IFC Business Model by Region
  • IFC Business Models Market Share (Connected Aircraft), 2019
  • IFC Business Model Market Share by Region (Connected Aircraft)
  • FSS/HTS Connected Aircraft by Airframe Type, 2018
  • FSS/HTS Connected Aircraft by Airframe Type, 2019
  • Global Connected Airlines by Region
Chapter 2
  • IFC Service Providers Products and Services Portfolios
  • Commercial IFC Service Providers Market Share by Revenues, 2018
  • Commercial IFC Service Providers Market Share by Revenues, 2019
  • Global IFC FSS/HTS Commercial Airlines Service Providers Market Share by In-Service Units, 2018
  • Global IFC FSS/HTS Commercial Airlines Service Providers Market Share by In-Service Units, 2019
  • Global IFC Service Providers Market Share – FSS Ku-Band In-Service Units, 2019
  • Global IFC Service Providers Market Share – Ku-Band GEO-HTS In-Service Units, 2019
  • Global IFC Service Providers Market Share – Ka-Band GEO-HTS In-Service Units, 2019
  • Global IFC Service Providers Market Share by Aircraft Contracted, 2018
  • Global IFC Service Providers Market Share by Aircraft Contracted, 2019
  • Global IFC Service Providers Market Share by Widebody Aircraft Contracted, 2018
  • Global IFC Service Providers Market Share by Widebody Aircraft Contracted, 2019
  • IFC Service Providers FSS/HTS Market Share – Widebody Contracted Aircraft (NAM)
  • IFC Service Providers FSS/HTS Market Share – Widebody Contracted Aircraft (LAM)
  • IFC Service Providers FSS/HTS Market Share – Widebody Contracted Aircraft (EU)
  • IFC Service Providers FSS/HTS Market Share – Widebody Contracted Aircraft (MEA)
  • IFC Service Providers FSS/HTS Market Share – Widebody Contracted Aircraft (Asia)
  • IFC Service Providers FSS/HTS Market Share – Narrowbody Contracted Aircraft (NAM)
  • IFC Service Providers FSS/HTS Market Share – Narrowbody Contracted Aircraft (LAM)
  • IFC Service Providers FSS/HTS Market Share – Narrowbody Contracted Aircraft (EU)
  • IFC Service Providers FSS/HTS Market Share – Narrowbody Contracted Aircraft (MEA)
  • IFC Service Providers FSS/HTS Market Share – Narrowbody Contracted Aircraft (Asia)
  • FSS/HTS Aero Satcom Business Jets Service Providers Market Share (In-Service Units), 2018
  • FSS/HTS Aero Satcom Business Jets Service Providers Market Share (In-Service Units), 2019
  • FSS/HTS Aero Satcom Terminal Manufacturers Market Share (Contracted Aircraft), 2018
  • FSS/HTS Aero Satcom Terminal Manufacturers Market Share (Contracted Aircraft), 2019
  • IFC Modem Manufacturers Market (In-Service Units), 2019
  • IFC Modem Manufacturers Market (Backlog), 2019
  • IFC Modem Manufacturers Market (Aircraft Contracted), 2019
  • IFC Modem Manufacturers Market (Aircraft Contracted), 2018
  • Satcom IFC Market Share by Connectivity Type (Aircraft Contracted), 2018
  • Satcom IFC Market Share by Connectivity Type (Aircraft Contracted), 2019
  • Air-to-Ground, FSS Ku-Band and HTS Connectivity Market Share by In-Service Units, 2019
  • Air-to-Ground, FSS Ku-Band and HTS Connectivity Market Share by In-Service Units, 2029
  • Air-to-Ground, FSS Ku-Band and HTS Connectivity Market Share by Retail Revenues, 2019
  • Air-to-Ground, FSS Ku-Band and HTS Connectivity Market Share by Retail Revenues, 2029
  • Aeronautical Connectivity Average Revenues per Unit by Airframe
  • Aeronautical Connectivity Equipment Costs by Airframe
  • Penetration Rate – VSAT (FSS Ku-Band & HTS)
  • IFC ATG Penetration Rate
  • Aeronautical L-Band Penetration Rate
Chapter 3
  • Aeronautical Satcom In-Service Units by Airframe
  • Aeronautical Satcom Total Retail Revenues by Airframe, 2029
  • Aeronautical Connectivity In-Service Units by Frequency Band, 2019
  • Aeronautical Connectivity In-Service Units by Frequency Band, 2029
  • Aeronautical Connectivity Total Retail Revenues by Frequency Band
  • Passengers IFC Satcom & ATG Retail & Total Revenues
  • Operational Connectivity Retail, Wholesale & Total Revenues
  • Aeronautical Satcom Capacity Demand by Type
  • Aeronautical Satcom Capacity Revenues
  • Comparison – Aeronautical Satcom Markets In-Service Units
  • Comparison – Aeronautical Satcom Markets Total Retail Revenues
  • Comparison – Aeronautical Satcom Markets Ku-Band Capacity Demand
  • Comparison – Aeronautical Satcom Markets HTS Capacity Demand
  • Widebody Aeronautical Total Retail Revenues by Frequency Band
  • Widebody L-Band In-Service Units by Region
  • Widebody L-Band Retail, Wholesale & Total Revenues
  • Widebody Ku-Band In-Service Units & Capacity Demand
  • Widebody Ku-Band Retail & Total Revenues
  • Widebody Ku-Band GEO-HTS Retail & Total Revenues
  • Widebody Ku-Band GEO-HTS Capacity Demand
  • Widebody Ka-Band GEO-HTS Retail & Total Revenues
  • Widebody Ka-Band GEO-HTS Capacity Demand
  • Widebody Non-GEO HTS In-Service Units by Region
  • Widebody Non-GEO HTS Capacity Demand
  • Narrowbody Aeronautical Capacity Demand
  • Narrowbody Aeronautical In-Service Units by Frequency Band
  • Narrowbody Aeronautical Total Retail Revenues by Frequency Band
  • Narrowbody L-Band Retail, Wholesale & Total Revenues
  • Narrowbody L-Band In-Service Units by Scenario
  • Narrowbody Ku-Band In-Service Units and Capacity Demand
  • Narrowbody Ku-Band In-Service Units by Region
  • Narrowbody Ku-Band GEO-HTS Capacity Demand
  • Narrowbody Ku-Band GEO-HTS Retail & Total Revenues
  • Narrowbody Ka-Band GEO-HTS Retail & Total Revenues
  • Narrowbody Ka-Band GEO-HTS Capacity Demand
  • Business Jets Aeronautical In-Service Units by Frequency Band
  • Business Jets Aeronautical Capacity Demand
  • Business Jets L-Band Retail Equipment Revenues
  • Business Jets L-Band Retail, Wholesale & Total Revenues
  • Business Jets Ku-Band In-Service Units and Capacity Demand
  • Business Jets Ku-Band Retail & Total Revenues
  • Business Jets Ku-Band GEO-HTS Retail and Total Revenues
  • Business Jets Ku-Band GEO-HTS Capacity Demand
  • Business Jets Ka-Band GEO-HTS Retail & Total Revenues
  • Business Jets Ka-Band GEO-HTS Capacity Demand
  • GA & RW L-Band In-Service Units by Scenario
  • GA & RW L-Band Retail, Wholesale & Total Revenues
  • GA & RW L-Band Retail & Wholesale ARPU
  • Passenger IFC Satcom & ATG In-Service Units by Scenario
  • Passengers IFC Satcom & ATG Retail & Total Revenues
  • Operational Connectivity In-Service Units by Scenario
  • Operational Connectivity Retail, Wholesale & Total Revenues
  • Ku-Band Aeronautical Capacity Demand by Airframe
  • Ku-Band Aeronautical Capacity Revenues by Airframe
  • Ku-Band GEO-HTS Capacity Demand by Region
  • Ku-Band GEO-HTS Capacity Revenues by Region
  • Ka-Band GEO-HTS Capacity Demand by Region
  • Widebody Non-GEO HTS Capacity Demand
  • Widebody Non-GEO HTS Retail & Total Revenues
  • ATG In-Service Units by Segment
  • ATG Total Retail Revenues
  • ATG Commercial Aviation Retail & Total Revenues
  • ATG Commercial Aviation In-Service Units by Scenario
  • ATG Business Aviation In-Service Units by Scenario
  • ATG Business Aviation Retail & Total Revenues
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